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Friday, December 11, 2015

Steelers vs Bengals

A lot of big games in the NFL this weekend, and one of the biggest if not the biggest is the Pittsburgh Steelers (7-5) at the Cincinnati Bengals (10-2).  This will be the second battle between the two AFC North rivals, with the Bengals winning the last one at Pittsburgh in week eight, 16-10.
Now, the Bengals have the Steelers at home with a win clinching them the AFC North crown.  It doesn't really matter, because they will win it unless they lose out and the Steelers win out.  So unless the Bengals absolutely fall apart.  But, this is a big game for seeding.
The Bengals are in a three-way tie at the top with the Patriots and Broncos.  The Bengals would be the one seed if they were to win out and the Patriots lose one game.  But, they also have to play at the Broncos and the Patriots are really good.  The Bengals hold the tiebreaker over the Patriots until week 16 via strength of  victory.  But, the Patriots beating the Dolphins, and the Bengals beating the Ravens flip the strength of victory.
The Steelers will play for the sixth seed.  The Chiefs have an easy schedule and hold the head to head tiebreaker.  The Steelers won Super Bowl 40 against the Seahawks as a six seed.  This is an explosive offense that can outscore anyone on any given day.  They are not even healthy, not even close.  Bell, Pouncey, Beachum and Big Ben Roethlisberger missing a bunch of time. The secondary is a mess, with Antwon Blake, the second-worst cornerback in all of football.  They are the most dangerous team to defeat the Patriots in the AFC because of that offense.
The Bengals defense will be led by Geno Atkins, and is one of the best in the league.  The Bengals offense is great too.  A.J green and Tyler Eifert, who are both on my 9-4 playoff fantasy football league, are killing it. Eifert will be listed as probable after missing last week scores a lot, and Andy Dalton isn't good in big games like this like 0-4 in the playoffs, so not good.
I project the Steelers high flying offense to win in a shootout, 27-24.  I think that would put the two AFC North rivals on a crash course into the 3-6 game, the wildcard where Dalton and the Bengals have gone 0-4 in four years with Dalton at the quarterback helm, and Marvin Lewis at the head coaching helm. 

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